Forecast of new energy consumption in 2018

Since the beginning of this year, under the combined effect of various measures, the consumption of new energy within the scope of national grid dispatch has been further improved, and the rate of wind and light abandonment has been significantly reduced year-on-year. It is expected that the new energy consumption situation will continue to improve in 2018, and the goal of controlling the wind and light abandonment rate within 9% will be achieved.

The installed capacity of new energy increased steadily, the consumption level continued to increase, the new energy generation and its proportion achieved "double rise", and the abandoned power and abandoned power rate achieved "double decline".

As of the end of May 2018, the installed capacity of wind power within the dispatch range of the State grid was 150.73 million kW, an increase of 10% year-on-year; The installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation was 133.19 million kilowatts, an increase of 61%. The cumulative power generation of new energy was 239.9 billion KWH, up 35% year-on-year, accounting for 11.5% of the total power generation, up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year. The cumulative power abandonment was 13.6 billion KWH, down 34% year-on-year, and the power abandonment rate was 6.8%, down 9.3 percentage points year-on-year.

The growth of electricity demand exceeds expectations, the reasonable control of installed scale, and the strengthening of priority scheduling and market trading are the main reasons for the improvement of new energy consumption. From the perspective of electricity demand, from January to May 2018, the growth rate of electricity consumption in the whole society picked up significantly, and the cumulative national electricity consumption was 2.16 trillion KWH, an increase of 11.1%. Among them, electricity consumption in Xinjiang, Gansu, Jilin and Ningxia increased by 8%, 13%, 9% and 8% respectively. From the point of view of new installed capacity, the wind power red warning of Xinjiang, Gansu, Jilin, and photovoltaic red warning of Xinjiang, Gansu, Ningxia have not new projects connected to the grid, from the source for new energy consumption vacated an effective space. From the perspective of other measures, first, accelerate the construction of clean energy transmission channels and inter-provincial channels.